Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.