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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
46.08% (-0.211 -0.21) 27.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.27% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.027000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)25.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.121 -0.12)60.91% (0.121 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.186 0.19)38.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.176 0.18)75.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.08%
    Stoke City 26.27%
    Draw 27.64%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
65.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stoke City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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