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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Stoke

Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Millwall 1-1 Stoke City

Millwall are the draw specialists in the Championship, and we would not be surprised to see another stalemate at The Den on Saturday. The Lions are more likely to finish higher than their forthcoming opponents this season, but there is little to split these sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.52%).

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
46.08% (-0.211 -0.21) 27.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.27% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.33% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20% (0.027000000000001 0.03)80% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)25.91% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.121 -0.12)60.91% (0.121 0.12)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (0.186 0.19)38.81% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.176 0.18)75.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.08%
    Stoke City 26.27%
    Draw 27.64%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
65.6%
Draw
29.5%
Stoke City
4.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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