Bloomfield is a highly respected manager, but he is going to need time to implement his style of play, and it is difficult to see how he can do so with so many defensive injuries.
Additionally, Oxford's record at home in recent weeks is strong, and considering the visitors have struggled to find the back of the net, the hosts should be confident of victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.05) 
