We said: Bristol City 2-2 Luton Town
While Luton have won four of their last five home matches, they have struggled to replicate that sort of form away from Kenilworth Road, and with that in mind, we think that the Hatters will have to settle for a share of the spoils in their clash with a Bristol City side that have drawn four of their previous seven home matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.