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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton Town

Bristol City
1 - 0
Luton

Twine (47')
Twine (58'), Dickie (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-2 Luton Town

While Luton have won four of their last five home matches, they have struggled to replicate that sort of form away from Kenilworth Road, and with that in mind, we think that the Hatters will have to settle for a share of the spoils in their clash with a Bristol City side that have drawn four of their previous seven home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
58.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 23.23% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-0.272 -0.27)51.01% (0.271 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.239 -0.24)72.88% (0.239 0.24)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)17.15% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.6% (-0.147 -0.15)47.4% (0.147 0.15)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.12% (-0.252 -0.25)41.88% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.67% (-0.219 -0.22)78.34% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 58.49%
    Luton Town 18.27%
    Draw 23.23%
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.49%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.27%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Luton

Bristol City
54.9%
Draw
29.6%
Luton Town
15.5%
71
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 44
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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