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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
45.82% ( 0.52) | 25.28% ( -0.02) | 28.91% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 54.1% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% ( -0.2) | 49.22% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( -0.18) | 71.28% ( 0.18) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 0.15) | 21.49% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.47% ( 0.23) | 54.53% ( -0.23) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.47) | 31.09% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.55) | 67.41% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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