Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.