Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.