Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.