We said: Lille 1-2 Lens
Derby matches are often tough to predict, and Lens have picked up a couple of good results in recent weeks. Form can go out the window with local pride at stake, but we think that Lens will win this game and narrow the gap between the two clubs in the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Lens had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
45.23% ( 0.08) | 24.37% ( 0.02) | 30.39% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.16) | 44.49% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -0.15) | 66.86% ( 0.15) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.03) | 19.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.12% ( -0.05) | 51.87% ( 0.05) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.14) | 27.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.8% ( -0.18) | 63.2% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 45.23%
Lens 30.39%
Draw 24.36%
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.39% |
How you voted: Lille vs Lens
Lille
57.7%Draw
17.3%Lens
25.0%52
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
0-2
Lille
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
