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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
31.95% ( 1.32) | 27.32% ( -0.77) | 40.73% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( 2.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.8% ( 3.16) | 56.2% ( -3.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% ( 2.5) | 77.25% ( -2.5) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 2.61) | 32.51% ( -2.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 2.83) | 69.04% ( -2.84) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.91% ( 1.2) | 27.09% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.53% ( 1.53) | 62.47% ( -1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -1.13) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.4) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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