MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:46:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

 With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
72.3% (0.249 0.25) 17.9% (0.17 0.17) 9.8% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.949 -1.95)46.55% (1.952 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.858 -1.86)68.83% (1.86 1.86)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)11.47% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-1.034 -1.03)36.31% (1.037 1.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (-2.097 -2.1)52.15% (2.1 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (-1.407 -1.41)86.1% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.29%
    Millwall 9.8%
    Draw 17.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.81 0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.2%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Bristol City216962626027
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
23Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!