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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Southampton
1 - 1
Rotherham

Armstrong (2')
Deen Sulemana (33'), Bednarek (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hugill (74')
Peltier (31'), Tiehi (68'), Clucas (76'), Lembikisa (84'), Kelly (90+2'), Appiah (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Southampton
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-0 Rotherham United

Rotherham United are yet to score a point in five away trips in the Championship so far this season, and catching Southampton at a bad time with the Saints regaining momentum, we can only see them falling to a heavy defeat on the South Coast with the hosts boasting superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawRotherham United
53.62% (0.739 0.74) 24.55% (-0.279 -0.28) 21.82% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (0.616 0.62)51.86% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (0.531 0.53)73.62% (-0.532 -0.53)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.53100000000001 0.53)19.28% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.97% (0.86799999999999 0.87)51.02% (-0.869 -0.87)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-0.108 -0.11)38.55% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7% (-0.102 -0.1)75.29% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 53.61%
    Rotherham United 21.82%
    Draw 24.55%
SouthamptonDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.82%

How you voted: Southampton vs Rotherham

Southampton
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Rotherham United
5.6%
18
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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