MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:30:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Southampton logo
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Leeds logo

Southampton
3 - 1
Leeds

Armstrong (2', 35'), Smallbone (31')
Armstrong (12'), Smallbone (18'), Bednarek (37'), Charles (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Struijk (58')
Kamara (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 0-2 Leeds United

 Southampton are yet to fully hit their stride under Russell Martin, and pressure is certainly growing around St Mary's, while their visitors are quickly building momentum and appear to be more proficient at both ends of the pitch than the Saints. We fancy Farke's side to put up another clean sheet and return to Yorkshire with three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
29.47% (-2.683 -2.68) 23.39% (0.223 0.22) 47.14% (2.459 2.46)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-2.349 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-2.447 -2.45)40.45% (2.446 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-2.562 -2.56)62.82% (2.56 2.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-2.85 -2.85)26.24% (2.849 2.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (-3.974 -3.97)61.35% (3.972 3.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 29.47%
    Leeds United 47.14%
    Draw 23.39%
SouthamptonDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.394 -0.39)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.259 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.47%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.496 0.5)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.299 0.3)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.867 0.87)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.758 0.76)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.07% (0.442 0.44)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.193 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 47.14%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leeds

Southampton
8.3%
Draw
11.1%
Leeds United
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
1-0
Southampton
Firpo (77')
> Match Report
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
2-2
Leeds
Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Leeds
1-1
Southampton
Harrison (29')
Ayling (58'), Marsch (90+3')
Ward-Prowse (49')
Elyounoussi (63')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
> Preview
May 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 37
Southampton
0-2
Leeds
Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!