Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Stoke0 - 3Leeds
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 22.38% | 23.78% | 53.84% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% | 48.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% | 70.29% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% | 35.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.3% | 72.69% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% | 17.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.49% | 48.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 22.38%
Leeds United 53.84%
Draw 23.77%
| Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.54% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.38% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.52% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.42% 0-4 @ 2.37% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.84% |
