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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leicester logo

Stoke
0 - 5
Leicester


Leris (26'), Bae (47'), Wilmot (90'), Rose (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Daka (26', 66' pen.), McAteer (30'), Vardy (73', 90+8' pen.)
McAteer (40'), Mavididi (42'), Justin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leicester City

While Stoke have been poor at home this season, they are usually competitive against the bigger sides. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Leicester, and expect the visitors to see out the win after taking control during the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
28.95% (-1.375 -1.38) 23.93% (-0.325 -0.32) 47.12% (1.697 1.7)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (0.716 0.72)43.26% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (0.701 0.7)65.66% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.565 -0.56)28.01% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.726 -0.73)63.66% (0.723 0.72)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.983 0.98)18.53% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (1.635 1.64)49.76% (-1.637 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 28.95%
    Leicester City 47.12%
    Draw 23.92%
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.95%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.238 0.24)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.12%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leicester

Stoke City
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
Leicester City
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')

Burger (32')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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