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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.97%
    Birmingham City 28.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
52.0%
Draw
20.0%
Birmingham City
28.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Birmingham
1-3
Stoke
Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')
Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
2-2
Birmingham
Campbell (25', 52')
James (12'), Gardner (58')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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