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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Fulton (54'), Latibeaudiere (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clarke (51')
Neill (16'), Evans (23'), Embleton (54'), Gooch (90+7'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Sunderland

With Swansea producing some of their best form under Martin, they will have total confidence that they can continue to strengthen their playoff bid. However, we cannot ignore that Sunderland are proving difficult to beat under Mowbray, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
41.37% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 26.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 32.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.124 0.12)24.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.174 0.17)59.26% (-0.175 -0.18)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)66.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.37%
    Sunderland 32.4%
    Draw 26.22%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
12.3%
73
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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