We said: Sunderland 1-0 Preston North End
Sunderland appear to be able to manage even without their star strikers and boast home advantage on Saturday, while their visitors have shown a concerning lack of attacking thrust this season, and we see the Black Cats having enough to break down the resilient Lilywhites defence while keeping their opponents out at the other end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.