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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.33% (-0.565 -0.56) 25.2% (0.245 0.24) 24.47% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (-0.707 -0.71)51.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.615 -0.61)73.67% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.517 -0.52)20.64% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.822 -0.82)53.21% (0.82 0.82)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.108 -0.11)72.88% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.32%
    Swansea City 24.47%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
78.4%
Draw
15.7%
Swansea City
5.9%
51
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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