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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Swansea logo

Watford
1 - 2
Swansea

Sarr (34')
Louza (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
Grimes (67'), Darling (90+14'), Fulton (90+16'), Latibeaudiere (90+17'), Wood (90+18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-3 Swansea
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Swansea City

Despite their emphatic victory on Sunday, Watford now go up against a team who can claim to be a side very much on the up. Nevertheless, we still feel that the Hornets will do enough to get another three points on the board, giving the board further satisfaction after their decision to make a change in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSwansea City
50.33% (-0.565 -0.56) 25.2% (0.245 0.24) 24.47% (0.32 0.32)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (-0.707 -0.71)51.92% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.615 -0.61)73.67% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.517 -0.52)20.64% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.822 -0.82)53.21% (0.82 0.82)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.1% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.108 -0.11)72.88% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Watford 50.32%
    Swansea City 24.47%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Watford vs Swansea

Watford
78.4%
Draw
15.7%
Swansea City
5.9%
51
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Watford
Lowe (43', 67')
Guehi (21'), Bidwell (33'), Grimes (45+1')
Cleverley (20')
Chalobah (42'), Masina (90')
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Carrillo (11')
Carrillo (30'), Doucoure (80'), Prodl (82'), Zeegelaar (89')
Ayew (86'), Narsingh (91')
Fernandez (3'), Carroll (34')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Watford
Abraham (56')
Bony (82')
Gray (13'), Richarlison (90')
Capoue (34'), Doucoure (45'), Richarlison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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