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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
50.33% ( -0.56) | 25.2% ( 0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% ( -0.71) | 51.92% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( -0.61) | 73.67% ( 0.61) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.52) | 20.64% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.82) | 53.21% ( 0.82) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( -0.11) | 36.1% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( -0.11) | 72.88% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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