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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Rotherham United | 8 | 6 | 13 |
10 | Watford | 9 | 0 | 13 |
11 | Wigan Athletic | 8 | -1 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
45.21% ( -3.31) | 26.33% ( -0.04) | 28.46% ( 3.35) |
Both teams to score 50.55% ( 2.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% ( 2.17) | 53.71% ( -2.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( 1.8) | 75.2% ( -1.8) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( -0.61) | 23.68% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.21% ( -0.88) | 57.79% ( 0.88) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( 3.94) | 33.77% ( -3.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( 4.06) | 70.43% ( -4.06) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -1.24) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -1.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.44) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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