We said: Reading 2-1 Sunderland
With two away wins to their name already this season, Sunderland will fancy their chances on Wednesday evening. However, Reading have a perfect record at home, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the Royals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.