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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
41.96% ( -0.14) | 25.3% ( 0.04) | 32.74% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.28% ( -0.15) | 47.72% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( -0.14) | 69.91% ( 0.14) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( -0.13) | 22.65% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.72% ( -0.19) | 56.28% ( 0.2) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0.01) | 27.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -0.01) | 63.3% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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