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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
50.76% ( 0.49) | 25.16% ( -0.11) | 24.08% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.88% ( 0.13) | 52.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.16% ( 0.11) | 73.84% ( -0.11) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.26) | 20.54% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.41) | 53.05% ( -0.41) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% ( -0.26) | 36.56% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% ( -0.27) | 73.34% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.75% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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