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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.47% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( -0) | 20.5% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.44% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.84% ( 0.02) | 47.16% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% ( 0.02) | 69.4% ( -0.02) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.5% ( 0.01) | 16.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.78% ( 0.01) | 46.22% ( -0.01) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% ( 0.02) | 37.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( 0.02) | 73.99% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.15% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 20.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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