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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Blackburn logo

West Brom
4 - 1
Blackburn

Fellows (11'), Thomas-Asante (30', 63'), Hyam (33' og.)
Bartley (40'), Kipre (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Garrett (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Blackburn Rovers

Although West Brom are light in terms of attacking options due to Diangana's AFCON involvement and Sarmiento's departure, the hosts still have a first-choice defence available, which has been key to so many of their wins at The Hawthorns this season. Blackburn have lost their last four Championship away matches - conceding 13 goals in the process - and we cannot imagine Rovers earning anything on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
57.51% (-0.107 -0.11) 21.56% (0.032 0.03) 20.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)40.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)62.49% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)13.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)41.03% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)32.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.044 0.04)69.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.51%
    Blackburn Rovers 20.92%
    Draw 21.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 57.51%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: West Brom vs Blackburn

West Bromwich Albion
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Blackburn Rovers
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Blackburn
2-1
West Brom
Markanday (20'), Leonard (22')
Travis (28'), Szmodics (30'), Carter (48'), Hedges (87')
Phillips (50')
Corberan Vallet (29'), Yokuslu (45+3'), Kipre (53'), Wallace (55')
Corberan Vallet (0')
Feb 15, 2023 8pm
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
West Brom
Brereton Diaz (41'), Gallagher (47')
Gallagher (5'), Buckley (77'), Dack (89'), Travis (90')
Diangana (59')
Swift (37')
Feb 14, 2022 8pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Blackburn
1-2
West Brom
Brereton Diaz (51')
Travis (58')
Mowatt (1'), Phillips (45+3')
Livermore (18'), Furlong (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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