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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Wuhan Three Towns

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Wuhan TT

Hao (15')
Bai (13'), Dabao (28'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Li (81')
Chao (45+2'), Li (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Wuhan Three Towns, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 3-1 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions
Last Game: Shanghai Port 3-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Wuhan Three Towns

 Despite playing most of the last match with 10 men, Wuhan Three Towns attacked the game as best as they could and were trading blows with their opponents up to the sending off. Beijing Guoan are also a side that likes playing front-foot football, and it would not be surprising to see a handful of goals fly in here. The visitors were building up a head of steam leading up to their last match and should give a much better account of themselves here, while the hosts will play their usual attacking brand of football. We feel they will cancel each other out in a high-scoring affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawWuhan Three Towns
35.27% (-0.136 -0.14) 23.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 40.81% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 61.53% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.165 0.16)40.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.17 0.17)63.06% (-0.173 -0.17)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.14999999999999 0.15)20.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.239 0.24)52.46% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 35.27%
    Wuhan Three Towns 40.81%
    Draw 23.91%
Beijing GuoanDrawWuhan Three Towns
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 40.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 2
Wuhan TT
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Ademilson (90+2')
Yang (62')
Nov 8, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Beijing Guoan
0-2
Wuhan TT
Deng (45+1'), Ademilson (90+5' pen.)
Aug 12, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Wuhan TT
5-1
Beijing Guoan
Marcao (6', 20', 50', 61'), Davidson (68')
Marcao (12')
Zhang (45+1')
Cao (25'), Chengdong (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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