MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:01:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Wuhan Three Towns
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Jul 8, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Hankou Sports Center Stadium

Wuhan TT
2 - 1
Changchun

Davidson (68' pen.), Yakubu (85' pen.)
Pengfei (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jinxian (71')
Yan (21'), Okore (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Wuhan Three Towns and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-3 Wuhan TT
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 3-1 Henan
Monday, July 3 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Wuhan Three Towns 3-2 Changchun Yatai

 We saw five goals scored when these sides met in November last year, and based on their records since then, this looks set to be another high-scoring encounter. Despite their poor home record this season, the hosts do have a better defence, which is why we feel they may just edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wuhan Three Towns.

Result
Wuhan Three TownsDrawChangchun Yatai
60.82% (0.426 0.43) 20.62% (-0.111 -0.11) 18.57% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.26% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)61.6% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5% (0.13200000000001 0.13)12.5% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.51% (0.27 0.27)38.49% (-0.266 -0.27)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)34.64% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.329 -0.33)71.37% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Wuhan Three Towns 60.82%
    Changchun Yatai 18.57%
    Draw 20.62%
Wuhan Three TownsDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.37% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Wuhan TT
2-3
Changchun
Ademilson (64'), Pengfei (88')
Lima (39'), Serginho (50'), Deng (90+4' og.)
Sep 20, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 16
Changchun
1-2
Wuhan TT
Negrao (56' pen.)
Davidson (13'), Ademilson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422
> Chinese Super League Full Table


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