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Real Madrid logo
Club World Cup | Final
Feb 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
5 - 3
Al-Hilal

Junior (13', 69'), Valverde (18', 58'), Benzema (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Marega (26'), Vietto (63', 79')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid record a 5-3 victory over Al-Hilal to claim the Club World Cup trophy for the fifth time in their history.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Club World Cup clash between Real Madrid and Al-Hilal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Club World Cup clash between Real Madrid and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Saturday's Club World Cup final clash with Al-Hilal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Club World Cup final clash with Al-Hilal on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ahly 1-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 8 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Flamengo 2-3 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, February 7 at 7pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Al-Hilal win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAl-Hilal
66.02% (0.037000000000006 0.04) 18.94% (-0.032 -0.03) 15.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (0.13 0.13)38% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (0.13800000000001 0.14)60.26% (-0.135 -0.13)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.047000000000011 0.05)10.72% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (0.105 0.11)34.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (0.07 0.07)38.03% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2% (0.071999999999999 0.07)74.8% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.02%
    Al-Hilal 15.04%
    Draw 18.94%
Real MadridDrawAl-Hilal
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.02%
1-1 @ 8.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.94%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal

Real Madrid
79.2%
Draw
7.9%
Al-Hilal
12.9%
101
rhs 2.0
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