Real Madrid3 - 1Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
41.61% ( 0.23) | 25.45% ( 0.13) | 32.93% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
