CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio AKRON
Guadalajara2 - 1Forge
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between CD Guadalajara and Forge.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Juarez
Saturday, February 10 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Saturday, February 10 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Forge 1-3 Guadalajara
Thursday, February 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Thursday, February 8 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forge had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Forge win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
Result | ||
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Forge |
52.29% ( -1.64) | 24.24% ( 0.42) | 23.46% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% ( -0.5) | 48.98% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% ( -0.45) | 71.06% ( 0.45) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% ( -0.81) | 18.7% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.95% ( -1.37) | 50.05% ( 1.38) |
Forge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.62% ( 0.85) | 35.38% ( -0.85) |