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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2024 at 3.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
3 - 2
Toluca

Beltran (1'), Perez (43'), Marin (81')
Orozco (14'), Perez (45+5'), Gutierrez (62'), Castillo (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ruiz (7'), Garcia (45+3')
Belmonte (45+4'), Pereira (45+9'), Angulo (71'), Ruiz (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, January 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Atletico San Luis vs. Guadalajara
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, January 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Club Leon
Saturday, February 3 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
44.24% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08) 24.23% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 31.53% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)43.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.067 -0.07)65.7% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)19.75% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)51.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 44.24%
    Toluca 31.53%
    Draw 24.22%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 44.24%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 13
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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