MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 17:15:57| >> :60:210:210:
Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Panama national football team

Costa Rica
0 - 1
Panama


Mitchell (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fajardo (66' pen.)
Fajardo (18'), Carrasquilla (41'), Mosquera (79'), Cordoba (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Canada 2-1 Panama
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Costa Rica 2-1 Panama

This feels like a real 50-50 clash with Costa Rica much improved since their last showdown with Panama. Having build up a head of steam during qualifying, we are backing the home side to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawPanama
45.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.41% (0.0040000000000013 0) 30.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)44.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.16% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 45.49%
    Panama 30.1%
    Draw 24.41%
Costa RicaDrawPanama
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.1%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Panama

Costa Rica
59.7%
Draw
22.6%
Panama
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Panama
3-1
Costa Rica
Fajardo (20'), Luis Rodriguez (23'), Joel Barcenas (43' pen.)
Fajardo (2'), Escobar (54')
Calvo (51')
Calvo (79')
Nov 17, 2023 3am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Costa Rica
0-3
Panama

Campbell (10'), Arboine (43'), Aguilera (59'), Pablo Vargas (83'), Bran (86')
Murillo (4'), Fajardo (29'), Waterman Ruiz (60')
Godoy (59')
Jun 27, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Costa Rica
1-2
Panama
Suarez (90+1')
Alcocer (15'), Azofeifa (84')
Fajardo (23'), Joel Barcenas (68')
Godoy (44')
Mar 29, 2023 3am
Jun 3, 2022
12.30am
rhs 2.0
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