MX23RW : Friday, October 4 23:04:06| >> :60:187:187:
Colombia national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 6, 2024 at 11pm UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Panama national football team

Colombia
5 - 0
Panama

Cordoba (8'), Rodriguez (15' pen.), Diaz (41'), Rios (70'), Borja (90+3' pen.)
Uribe (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Welch (54'), Farina (64'), Cordoba (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Colombia could line up for Saturday's Copa America quarter-final clash with Panama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

Panama

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-3 Panama
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Colombia 3-1 Panama

 Both nations enter Saturday's contest in buoyant mood, but Colombia will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Los Cafeteros have not lost in any competition since February 2022 and they should have enough quality in the final third to break down Panama's five-man backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawPanama
42.05% (-0.473 -0.47) 27.59% (0.064 0.06) 30.36% (0.403 0.4)
Both teams to score 47.83% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)57.66% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (-0.084 -0.08)78.42% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.3 -0.3)27.06% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)62.44% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.247 0.25)34.42% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.263 0.26)71.13% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 42.04%
    Panama 30.36%
    Draw 27.59%
ColombiaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.32% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 30.36%

How you voted: 1st position Group D vs 2nd position Group C

1st position Group D
84.3%
Draw
10.8%
2nd position Group C
4.8%
83
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2019 11pm
International Friendlies
Colombia
3-0
Panama
Tesillo (6'), Muriel (38'), Falcao (45' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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