MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:48:18| >> :120:3792:3792:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
Honduras national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
Honduras

Chavez (43'), Alvarez (90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Sanchez (92'), Romo (130'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130')
FT
(aet)

Rosales (42'), Lozano (68'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94')
Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115')
Mexico win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We say: Mexico 1-0 Honduras (Honduras advances on aggregate)

 Whether they are still resting on their laurels from the Gold Cup or are just in a slump, the Mexicans have not looked convincing in months and have found it difficult to find consistency at Azteca. The Hondurans look quite comfortable hanging back and defending teams for long stretches, while they seem to have developed some solid partnerships at the back, all of which should enable them to squeak through this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.71%).

Result
MexicoDrawHonduras
58.63% (0.064 0.06) 24.06% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 17.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.12% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.143 -0.14)55.48% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.118 -0.12)76.67% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)18.75% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.052 -0.05)50.13% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.3% (-0.178 -0.18)45.7% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51% (-0.141 -0.14)81.48% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 58.62%
    Honduras 17.31%
    Draw 24.06%
MexicoDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 14.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras

Mexico
58.0%
Draw
18.0%
Honduras
24.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Funes Mori (26'), Dos Santos (31'), Pineda (38')
Gallardo (84')

Acosta (35'), Flores (58'), Garcia (60'), Fabricio Rojas Lazo (89')
> Preview
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