MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:23:20| >> :60:135:135:
Honduras national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
Cuba national football team

Honduras
4 - 0
Cuba

Maldonado (9'), Lozano (13'), Quioto (67' pen.), Rochez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Corrales (73'), Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 0-0 Honduras
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Cuba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 0-0 Honduras
Friday, October 13 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Honduras 1-0 Cuba

 Frustration must be high in Honduras after the Cubans stifled them throughout the 90 minutes on matchday three. However, there are some experienced attacking players in the fold with La H who have overcome adversity before, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done against what could be another all-out defensive outing by their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawCuba
66.37% (-0.639 -0.64) 20.49% (0.131 0.13) 13.14% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 45.05% (0.99 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.555 0.56)49.03% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.5 0.5)71.11% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)13.91% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.34% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (1.161 1.16)47.67% (-1.167 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.01% (0.847 0.85)82.99% (-0.852 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 66.36%
    Cuba 13.14%
    Draw 20.49%
HondurasDrawCuba
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 12.9% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.48% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.094 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.36%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.49%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.14%

How you voted: Honduras vs Cuba

Honduras
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cuba
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 2am
League A
Cuba
0-0
Honduras
Perez (4'), Morejon (90+1')
Zapata (28')
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rhs 2.0
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