MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:45:54| >> :60:392:392:
Montserrat national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 25, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
Haiti national football team

Montserrat
0 - 4
Haiti


Simon (31'), Mason (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nazon (49'), Pierrot (60'), Etienne (70'), Prunier (84')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

Last Game: Montserrat 3-2 Bermuda
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 6-0 Guyana
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawHaiti
27.34% (-0.152 -0.15) 22.21% (-0.081 -0.08) 50.45% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 63.52% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (0.271 0.27)36.28% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (0.295 0.3)58.41% (-0.293 -0.29)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)60.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (0.17700000000001 0.18)14.69% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (0.338 0.34)42.86% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 27.34%
    Haiti 50.45%
    Draw 22.21%
MontserratDrawHaiti
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 50.45%

Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 10pm
Haiti
3-2
Montserrat
Prunier (5'), Antoine (9'), Sabat (25')
Alceus (81')
Simon (18'), Taylor (90+2' pen.)
Comley (37')
rhs 2.0
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