Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Guyana win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.