MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:04:45| >> :60:391:391:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 22, 2024 at 2.15am UK
AT&T Stadium
Mexico national football team

Panama
0 - 3
Mexico


Carrasquilla (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alvarez (40'), Quinones (43'), Pineda (67')
Chavez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 3-1 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 21 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Sunday, December 17 at 12am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Panama 1-1 Mexico (Panama advances on penalties)

 Just like in the 2023 final, we expect this to be a close game between two sides with plenty of experience in these sorts of games. Although it has been a while since Los Canaleros have got the better of El Tri, Panama have been a lot more consistent than their Thursday opponents, and it seems like they have learned a lot from that Gold Cup loss, which should serve them well in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawMexico
38.58% (0.763 0.76) 27.29% (0.127 0.13) 34.12% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 49.8% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-0.594 -0.59)55.69% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-0.487 -0.49)76.84% (0.491 0.49)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.15799999999999 0.16)28.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.198 0.2)63.71% (-0.194 -0.19)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)30.78% (0.869 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-1.033 -1.03)67.05% (1.036 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.57%
    Mexico 34.12%
    Draw 27.29%
PanamaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Panama vs Mexico

Panama
29.2%
Draw
14.6%
Mexico
56.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
Final
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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