MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 23:39:37| >> :60:179:179:
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Curacao national football team

Saint Martin
0 - 5
Curacao


Dumas (64')
Dumas (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Margaritha (24', 34', 54', 80'), Bacuna (78' pen.)
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Saint Martin
Tuesday, October 15 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 1-0 Grenada
Monday, October 14 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.71%) and 1-3 (5.35%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
Saint MartinDrawCuracao
34.04% (0.165 0.16) 22.18% (0.073 0.07) 43.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 67.8% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.63% (-0.318 -0.32)32.37% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.01% (-0.369 -0.37)53.99% (0.369 0.37)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)19.72% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.106 -0.11)51.73% (0.106 0.11)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)15.55% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.398 -0.4)44.49% (0.397 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 34.04%
    Curacao 43.78%
    Draw 22.18%
Saint MartinDrawCuracao
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 9.27% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 7% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 43.78%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 10pm
League B
Curacao
4-0
Saint Martin
Bacuna (10'), Kastaneer (13'), Bacuna (48'), Zimmerman (65')
Roemeratoe (16'), Floranus (38')

Amiens (64'), Montantin (69')
rhs 2.0
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