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Argentina national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 4, 2021 at 2am UK
 
Ecuador national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Ecuador

De Paul (40'), Martinez (84'), Messi (90+3')
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's Copa America clash with Argentina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
54.43%24.91%20.66%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55%54.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.81%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86%52.14%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78%41.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25%77.74%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 54.42%
    Ecuador 20.66%
    Draw 24.9%
ArgentinaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 5.08%
4-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.42%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.24%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.66%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 1.30am
Oct 13, 2019 3pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
6-1
Ecuador
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-3
Argentina
Ibarra (1')
Messi (13', 20', 62')
Apr 1, 2015 1am
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-1
Ecuador
Aguero (8'), Pastore (58')
Bolanos (24')
Bolanos (28'), Ayoví (58')
Nov 16, 2013 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-0
Argentina
Ayovi (81'), Ayovi (85'), Gaibor (90')
Roncaglia (32')
rhs 2.0
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8Fulham3012994440445
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10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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