Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre
Barakaldo0 - 0Malaga
O. (20'), Gaztanaga (87'), Gaztanaga Arrospide (88'), Salado (117')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Rodriguez (3'), Murillo (61'), Abaida (62')
Malaga win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Barakaldo and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barakaldo 0-0 Villarrubia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 1-0 (4.65%).
| Result | ||
| Barakaldo | Draw | Malaga |
10.92% ( -0.22) | 19.87% ( -0.07) | 69.2% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.41% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
