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Villarreal logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Real Madrid logo

Villarreal
2 - 3
Real Madrid

Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Capoue (8'), Reina (80'), Baena (85'), Torres (88'), Parejo (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
Camavinga (36'), Valverde (72'), Junior (90'), Rudiger (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid recover from a two-goal deficit to record a 3-2 win over Villarreal in the last-16 stage of the Copa del Rey.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey last-16 clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Villarreal
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 Barcelona
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
30.43% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 23.47% (-0.226 -0.23) 46.09% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.876 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.71% (1.125 1.13)40.29% (-1.125 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (1.15 1.15)62.66% (-1.151 -1.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.623 0.62)25.54% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.842 0.84)60.41% (-0.843 -0.84)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (0.494 0.49)17.77% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.844 0.84)48.48% (-0.844 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 30.43%
    Real Madrid 46.09%
    Draw 23.47%
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.43%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 46.09%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Villarreal
46.7%
Real Madrid
53.3%
214
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Torres (16'), Albiol (75'), Baena (90+3'), Reina (90+5')
Benzema (60' pen.)
Camavinga (90+7')
Feb 12, 2022 3.15pm
Villarreal
0-0
Real Madrid

Foyth (23'), Albiol (51')

Militao (23'), Asensio (29'), Bale (45+2'), Casemiro (88')
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
0-0
Villarreal

Junior (40')

Coquelin (55'), Gomez (70')
May 22, 2021 5pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Villarreal
Benzema (87'), Modric (90+2')
Pino (20')
Nov 21, 2020 3.15pm
Villarreal
1-1
Real Madrid
Moreno (76' pen.)
Pino (90+1')
Mariano (2')
Nacho (68'), Kroos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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