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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
2 - 1
Valencia

Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Foyth (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavani (21')
Musah (35'), Comert (56'), Moriba (73'), Cavani (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia

As mentioned, there has not been a draw between these two sides since September 2018, with each of the last seven La Liga meetings producing a winner. However, we are struggling to separate them here, as Valencia will be full of confidence following their success over Real Betis before the campaign was halted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
57.02% (-0.738 -0.74) 23.26% (0.117 0.12) 19.72% (0.623 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (0.374 0.37)49.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (0.337 0.34)71.24% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.126 -0.13)17.02% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-0.224 -0.22)47.15% (0.224 0.22)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.902 0.9)39.19% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.834 0.83)75.9% (-0.833 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.01%
    Valencia 19.72%
    Draw 23.26%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.72%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
68.7%
Draw
24.1%
Valencia
7.2%
83
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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