MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:27:18| >> :60:39:39:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Bahia

Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Pablo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davo (5')
Xavier (53'), Jacare (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 22 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Bahia

Bahia put forth a valiant effort in the opening leg, but it is hard to envision them coming into enemy territory and reversing their fortunes against a team who excel in virtually every category, with plenty of experience in elimination games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
44.78% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.86% (0.064 0.06) 28.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (-0.221 -0.22)55.77% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (-0.182 -0.18)76.91% (0.182 0.18)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)24.8% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.203 -0.2)59.37% (0.204 0.2)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.94% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (-0.099 -0.1)71.68% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 44.78%
    Bahia 28.36%
    Draw 26.85%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.36%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bahia
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Bahia
2-1
Athletico PR
De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
Terans (40')
Erick (82')
Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
Jan 20, 2021 9pm
Sep 26, 2020 11pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Bahia
Christian (70')
Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')

Saldanha (40')
rhs 2.0
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