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Copa Libertadores
Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Athletico Paranaense

Libertad
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Santa Cruz (45+4')
Piris (82'), Barboza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cardoso (90+1')
Vinicius (42'), Roque (62'), Henrique (75'), Fernandes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

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Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Club Libertad 2-1 Athletico Paranaense (Athletico Paranaense win on penalties)

 There are plenty of valid reasons that might suggest each of these sides have an equal chance of capturing this encounter, making it an extremely tough match to call. It seems therefore like the only viable solution to settle this tie is to leave it up to chance, and cruel as it may be, we expect Paranaense to show a little more composure in what promises to be a tense encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
46.22% (0.409 0.41) 23.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 30.75% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.476 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04% (-0.518 -0.52)37.96% (0.517 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.78% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)60.22% (0.55399999999999 0.55)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)16.82% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)46.8% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)24.2% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)58.54% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 46.22%
    Athletico Paranaense 30.75%
    Draw 23.02%
Club LibertadDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 46.22%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.75%

How you voted: Libertad vs Athletico PR

Club Libertad
59.1%
Draw
9.1%
Athletico Paranaense
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
2-1
Libertad
Roque (6'), Hernandez (32')
Christian (26')
Villalba (20')
Barboza (72'), Campuzano (77')
May 18, 2022 11pm
Athletico PR
2-0
Libertad
Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
Libertad
1-0
Athletico PR
Riveros (57')
Bareiro (23')

Christian (14'), Garcia (55'), Vitinho (72'), Pablo (84')
rhs 2.0
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