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Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 16, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Corinthians

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Corinthians

Rato (13'), Moura (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Murillo (68'), Gil (90+9')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCorinthians
62.3% (0.837 0.84) 23.5% (-0.248 -0.25) 14.2% (-0.587 -0.59)
Both teams to score 39.5% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)58.16% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)78.81% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (0.271 0.27)18.39% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (0.453 0.45)49.54% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.4% (-0.937 -0.94)51.6% (0.938 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26% (-0.628 -0.63)85.74% (0.62899999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 62.3%
    Corinthians 14.2%
    Draw 23.5%
Sao PauloDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 16.07% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 13.6% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.68% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 14.2%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Corinthians

Sao Paulo
44.4%
Draw
27.8%
Corinthians
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
2-1
Sao Paulo
Augusto (48', 81')
Ramos (55' og.)
Maia (44'), Luciano (57'), Beraldo (88')
May 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Corinthians
1-1
Sao Paulo
Guedes (45+6' pen.)
Araujo (15')
Sep 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Sao Paulo
1-1
Corinthians
Eder (33' pen.)
Alberto (14')
May 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Corinthians
1-1
Sao Paulo
Adson (80')
Queiroz (45+1'), Victor (45+3')
Calleri (45+6')
Diego (45+3'), Alisson (59'), Neves (75')
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