Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB0 - 0Corinthians
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Newell's OB
Wednesday, August 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Corinthians
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Corinthians
While Corinthians did manage to secure a crucial home win in the first leg, they were far from convincing and could find themselves in a very closely-contested battle in this one. We expect the Argentine side to find the net at least once in the match, but the visitors should make it through to the next round, albeit by a very slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Corinthians |
50.13% ( -0.05) | 28.45% ( 0.02) | 21.42% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 39.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.69% ( -0.05) | 65.3% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.89% ( -0.04) | 84.1% ( 0.03) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% ( -0.05) | 26.53% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% ( -0.06) | 61.73% ( 0.06) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.24% ( -0.01) | 46.75% ( 0.01) |