MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:57:42| >> :60:199:199:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Patronato

Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Patronato


Asprilla (34'), Duque (53'), Ocampo (88')
Goez (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (81')
Kruspzky (11'), Solis (31'), Diaz (71'), Ruiz (84'), Aruga (90+2'), Geminiani (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Olimpia 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Melgar 5-0 Patronato
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Atletico Nacional 2-0 Patronato

Patronato have struggled in this competition so far, and that is something that is likely to continue in the final match due to the strength of the Atletico Nacional squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawPatronato
51.22% (0.44 0.44) 25.68% (-0.213 -0.21) 23.1% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.87% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (0.599 0.6)54.93% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (0.491 0.49)76.22% (-0.488 -0.49)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.43599999999999 0.44)21.49% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.667 0.67)54.53% (-0.664 -0.66)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (0.121 0.12)39.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (0.114 0.11)75.76% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 51.21%
    Patronato 23.1%
    Draw 25.68%
Atletico NacionalDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.21%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.1%

How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Patronato

Atletico Nacional
100%
Draw
0.0%
Patronato
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Patronato
1-2
Atletico Nacional
Levato (2')
Pabon (77' pen., 79')
rhs 2.0
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