Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Sep 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Palmeiras

(1-1 on aggregate)

Advincula (31'), Advincula (31'), Benedetto (57'), Benedetto (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rafael (23'), Rafael (23'), Ferreira (61'), Ferreira (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Racing
Sunday, December 7 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Palmeiras

Last Game: Ceara 1-3 Palmeiras
Sunday, December 7 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Palmeiras
34.61% ( -0.02)	29.16% ( -0.02)	36.23% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 44.4% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61% (

0.07)

62.39% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

0.05)

82.02% (

-0.05)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

0.02)

33.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

0.02)

70.57% (

-0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.06)

32.83% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.07)

69.4% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 34.61%

Palmeiras 36.22%

Draw 29.16%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.22%