Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno2 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fortaleza |
39.1% ( 1.9) | 28.23% ( 0.02) | 32.67% ( -1.92) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
